Wayzata Public Schools — Transcript
Monday, June 9, 2025
Enrollment Projections and Demographic Trends
School Board Election Year Change
Votes (2)
Enrollment Projections Report
Hazel Reinhardt presented the enrollment projections report, detailing a shift from K-5 driven growth to slower overall growth, largely due to low fertility rates and an aging population. The report highlighted increasing competition from non-public schools, consistent net in-migration at specific grade transitions (K-1 and 5-6), and projections of significant high school growth alongside elementary school declines. Housing unit types and values were discussed as key factors in student yields. The long-term outlook suggested enrollment could plateau and potentially decline after 2034-35, even before the district is fully built out. Questions from the board covered the impact of open enrollment, accuracy of housing yield assumptions, the role of infrastructure development, and strategies for managing future space needs.
Discussion on Moving School Board Elections to Even-Numbered Years
Amy Guys, the election clerk, presented an overview of the diminishing number of districts in Minnesota still holding odd-year elections. She highlighted significant costs (projected over $100,000 for 2025), voter confusion, increased staff workload, and legal risks associated with odd-year elections. Historical voter turnout data showed considerably lower participation in odd-year elections compared to even-year elections, though referendums could boost turnout. The board discussed the trade-offs between cost savings and the potential impact on non-partisanship, candidate accessibility, and community engagement with school-specific issues. Some members emphasized the value of maintaining non-partisan elections, while others prioritized cost efficiency and higher voter turnout, noting that most other districts have already made the switch.
Notable Quotes (13)
The biggest difference is we are now really confronted with low fertility that is the number of children a woman has to the end of childbearing and replacement is 2.11. Minnesota was at 1.73 in 2023 which is a little higher than the US at 1.62.
Historically your enrollment growth has been driven by K5... since 201920 only 23% of your growth is in K5 and that has in my opinion implications for the future that it is a it's a harbinger of slower enrollment ment growth because every growing district that I've ever worked with, their enrollment growth is always driven by elementary.
Students from new housing units do not automatically translate into additional students.
I can I can list many districts in the untold pain when they have now surplus buildings in various locations. You have been very fortunate in that it's population has been willing to shift from one elementary school or one school to another with out major catastrophe.
It seems like the projections are that we are still going to get more students and we are running out of room currently. So I guess you know if we're looking out five and 10 years does where does that leave us? I mean we still have to build for the increase and then at some point yes we might have to either hope that we can fill the space with open enrollment or I mean there will be buildings closing I guess how do we balance having enough space for you know in the next 5 to 10 years with not overbuilding.
I will be very bold and say you can manage your enrollment. I see you as so desirable that you open up open enrollment and you can fill however many seats you want. That's it's the question of whether you're you know of whether your community wants to build buildings that non-residents primarily use.
The surveys I've seen suggest the movement is more tied to values than it is per se to class size.
Of note, the only one that has elected to switch by running their next two odd-year elections as a three-year term is Richfield. All the rest have followed with the adding of one-year term to the current boards.
It's a little polarizing, one mistake of opening an envelope, sending it to the wrong place, saying the wrong thing to voters tends to end up in the news and I kind of consider one of my top jobs keeping us out of the public eye.
I think in my experience on the 12 years on the school board that this has that this was a that this was a pillar of the oddyear elections were a pillar of of what we do and and certainly we all know everything changed in 2021 in terms of the role of partisanship in our schoolboard elections.
I would maybe just add too that I think cost is increasingly a variable that we should consider. I don't know that it needs to be the thing or the one variable that would drive it.
If we don't do it ourselves, how can we expect that of our teachers and our principles and everybody who's in our classrooms? So that's something that I think there might be a cost to to having that and there might be a cost to, you know, even if it gets a little messy sometimes during elections, at least there is a fighting chance of us demonstrating a commitment to that.
5% in 2015 2017 and I don't know how much it was in 1921 23 25%. 5% voters out of 40,000 plus voted for two ele during two elections. That does not seem to be representative of of you know voters that that elect board members.
Ordinances & Resolutions (4)
Comprehensive study and presentation by state demographer Hazel Reinhardt on current and future student enrollment.
Long-term population and birth rate projections used as a basis for the district's enrollment forecasts.
Source of data for charter school enrollment of district residents.
Legislative bill where a proposal for mandatory even-year school board elections did not pass.